Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.619555 0.774282 0.939838 1.128304 1.335194 1.553879 1.801051
2025-03-02 0.360873 0.559861 0.794519 1.082300 1.417783 1.789933 2.227928
2025-03-09 0.218419 0.420610 0.681120 1.020009 1.432384 1.904607 2.474450
2025-03-16 0.133259 0.329715 0.607518 0.989131 1.470711 2.036382 2.732165
2025-03-23 0.090633 0.285552 0.584420 1.012624 1.567374 2.230494 3.056595
2025-03-30 0.055581 0.239988 0.550635 1.015595 1.633615 2.384632 3.331226
2025-04-06 0.027668 0.191913 0.503963 0.994452 1.664221 2.491806 3.547013
2025-04-13 0.017560 0.177848 0.507872 1.041885 1.782234 2.705397 3.889768
2025-04-20 0.010419 0.165863 0.512798 1.089286 1.899289 2.917291 4.230253
2025-04-27 0.006012 0.158192 0.523620 1.144414 2.026140 3.141228 4.585381
2025-05-04 0.004616 0.162926 0.556992 1.233335 2.198677 3.422940 5.011422
2025-05-11 0.002084 0.155410 0.566011 1.284745 2.320110 3.640068 5.358602
2025-05-18 0.000077 0.135000 0.549931 1.301040 2.399642 3.812156 5.661354
2025-05-25 NaN 0.097445 0.490771 1.246386 2.380061 3.857928 5.809814
2025-06-01 NaN 0.064498 0.429063 1.180492 2.339708 3.873046 5.916747
2025-06-08 NaN 0.044447 0.389640 1.146741 2.341537 3.940212 6.086104
2025-06-15 NaN 0.037540 0.385057 1.172246 2.428469 4.118651 6.394998
2025-06-22 NaN 0.028371 0.368851 1.175430 2.481836 4.252277 6.647103
2025-06-29 NaN 0.017847 0.339882 1.152576 2.495104 4.331666 6.829848
2025-07-06 NaN 0.016806 0.350425 1.203840 2.619364 4.559464 7.201444
2025-07-13 NaN 0.015837 0.360914 1.254991 2.743550 4.787340 7.573403
2025-07-20 NaN 0.015716 0.375633 1.314384 2.880358 5.032378 7.967533
2025-07-27 NaN 0.019108 0.408951 1.409986 3.072225 5.351670 8.456723